Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.113258 0.130988 0.150562 0.173776 0.200557 0.230487 0.266485
2025-12-07 0.082656 0.105686 0.133725 0.170371 0.217022 0.274459 0.350623
2025-12-14 0.066474 0.091147 0.123300 0.168267 0.229566 0.310290 0.424848
2025-12-21 0.056897 0.082597 0.117998 0.170319 0.245739 0.350659 0.508020
2025-12-28 0.051457 0.078483 0.117545 0.178103 0.269721 0.403364 0.613631
2026-01-04 0.046386 0.073950 0.115539 0.182837 0.289152 0.450956 0.716668
2026-01-11 0.042089 0.069870 0.113464 0.186821 0.307376 0.498096 0.823781
2026-01-18 0.038003 0.065496 0.110238 0.188306 0.321386 0.539606 0.925994
2026-01-25 0.033838 0.060403 0.105134 0.185879 0.328321 0.569866 1.012304
2026-02-01 0.029696 0.054797 0.098447 0.179808 0.328057 0.587541 1.078299
2026-02-08 0.027513 0.052389 0.096985 0.182674 0.343661 0.634016 1.200041
2026-02-15 0.025307 0.049655 0.094592 0.183476 0.355412 0.674505 1.314782
2026-02-22 0.023556 0.047621 0.093341 0.186423 0.371798 0.725765 1.456750
2026-03-01 0.021201 0.044130 0.088940 0.182777 0.375041 0.752501 1.554202
2026-03-08 0.019285 0.041284 0.085462 0.180520 0.380675 0.784260 1.664899
2026-03-15 0.018033 0.039662 0.084248 0.182721 0.395589 0.835981 1.822224
2026-03-22 0.017470 0.039438 0.085881 0.191070 0.424291 0.918884 2.054591
2026-03-29 0.016653 0.038556 0.086010 0.196148 0.446419 0.990072 2.269134
2026-04-05 0.015833 0.037570 0.085798 0.200421 0.467176 1.060305 2.489078
2026-04-12 0.014878 0.036159 0.084481 0.202015 0.481975 1.118758 2.688320
2026-04-19 0.013714 0.034118 0.081510 0.199411 0.486692 1.154764 2.838772
2026-04-26 0.012406 0.031580 0.077108 0.192900 0.481370 1.166892 2.933167
2026-05-03 0.011811 0.030738 0.076657 0.195973 0.499692 1.236773 3.176703